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Bryan Norcross: Hurricane Lowell to slowly turn toward the western Hawaiian Islands this weekend

·Sep 5, 2026
Source: Fox Weather
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Updated at 9:30 a.m. on Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026. Hurricane Lowell is a strong Category 4 as it drifts into a hard right bank and a path in the general direction of the western end of the main Hawaiian Island chain. The steering mechanism is changing from high pressure that has been driving Lowell to the west to a sharp dip in the jet stream that is going to yank it north. During that handoff, steering currents will be very light. Whenever a storm slows down, the uncertainty in its future track increases because there is no strong river of air driving it forward. As a result, there is high confidence that Lowell is going to turn north, but there is also intrinsic uncertainty on its exact path. A look at Hurricane Lowell on radar satellite (NOAA / NOAA)The consensus of the computer forecast models and the official National Hurricane Center forecast cone is that the core of the hurricane with the most damaging winds is most likely to pass by the main Hawaiian Islands, so the westernmost islands only get a glancing blow. That's not 100% due to the uncertainty introduced by the slow-motion turn. A more direct hit on Kauai or Niihau still can't be completely ruled out.

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