Bryan Norcross: Eventually we might have to watch the Atlantic disturbance (#96L)

Last updated at 11:30 a.m. on Oct. 6, 2026The disturbance in the Gulf – officially designated by the National Hurricane Center as Invest 92L – is still disorganized but showing signs of coming together. The system is drifting off the coast of Mexico in a part of the Gulf where the curvature of the coastline sometimes helps circulations get going. LATEST FROM FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSS Satellite imagery of the Gulf on Oct. 6, 2026. (CIRA)The weather pattern is complicated. If the system organizes and strengthens over the next day or so, it will likely be pulled north as Tropical Storm Isaias. But if it stays weaker longer and lollygags over the southern Gulf, it's more likely to get stuck in the Gulf. GROWING POTENTIAL FOR INVEST 92L TO INTENSIFY INTO HURRICANE ISAIAS AS DATA REVEALS ITS TRACK UNCERTAINTYUpper-level winds are forecast to remain hostile over the extreme northern Gulf and only be moderately supportive over the central Gulf. Plus, there is very dry air over Texas that will wrap into the system. That combination of factors would seem to favor an upper limit on the system's intensity in the tropical-storm range. Atlantic Basin on Oct. 6, 2026.

Updated at 10:30 a.m. on Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2026 In the AtlanticA robust disturbance that just crossed the African coast into the Atlantic could develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm. But it's expected to make a quick turn to the north. The National Hurricane Center has the odds of the system becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next several days in the medium range. Computer forecast models that show development show a tropical storm threat for the Cabo Verde Islands. The name would be Gonzalo. Atlantic status as of Sept. 23, 2026 at 10:30 a.m.  (Bryan Norcross / FOX Weather)In any case, after a few days, the system is likely to dissipate over the ocean. To the north, Ex-Tropical Storm Fay might regenerate into at least a depression. The NHC has the odds in the low category. In any case, it would not be a threat to land. The developing nor'easterThe pieces are coming together for an unusual early-season nor'easter to form off the coast of the Northeast. Tropical moisture will stream into the system meaning heavy rain will be likely in some areas.

A dip in the jet stream left behind a cluster of thunderstorms which has turned into a small tropical disturbance in the northern Gulf. Officially, it’s tagged Invest 97L by the National Hurricane Center. The system is trapped under the heat dome high-pressure system that's bringing hot weather to the Midwest, which will slowly nudge it toward the upper Texas coast. WHAT IS A HEAT DOME AND HOW CAN IT AFFECT YOU DURING THE SUMMER MONTHS? The National Hurricane Center puts the odds it will reach tropical depression status in the low range. It only has a couple of days, but the Gulf water is plenty warm, and the atmospheric pattern looks reasonably conducive to development. Tropical activity in the Atlantic basin over the next week. (Bryan Norcross)There's a long history of small systems spinning up quickly in the northwestern Gulf, of course. The curvature of the coast and the extremely warm water contribute to that phenomenon. Everyone from Galveston to Southwest Louisiana should stay in touch with the forecast over the next couple of days just in case something unexpected happens.

Invest 96L development odds drop amid strengthening El Niño The Atlantic Basin has been dominated by a strengthening El Niño, suppressing tropical activity across the basin this season. However, Invest 96L is attempting to develop, with odds now dropping to a medium chance. FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin has the latest on tropical activity across the basin: Updated at 9:05 a.m. on Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2026. The tropical disturbance that came off Africa on Monday is still trying to get organized over the tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center officially tagged it Invest #96L, which triggered various internal systems and specialty models to run. The runway ahead looks sufficiently conducive to development that we could briefly get a tropical depression or maybe Tropical Storm Dolly, but the road is going to get very bumpy by Friday. The NHC's odds of development into at least a depression are now in the medium range as it heads in the general direction of the northeast Caribbean. INVEST 93E COULD BECOME NEXT NAMED STORM AS STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO KEEPS PACIFIC PRIMED WITH 6 AREAS TO WATCH Tropical Overview of the Atlantic.

A meteor streaks across the sky over a desert in China during the Orionid meteor shower on Oct. 22, 2023.(VCG/VCG via Getty Images)The Orionid meteor shower is peaking this week, and it promises to be one of the most dazzling displays of the year. And while some of you will have clear skies, rain and clouds could impact the view for others. Here's what you need to know about the Orionids and your forecast:Fast factsPeak day: The meteor shower peaks Wednesday night, Oct. 21, into the early hours of Thursday morning, Oct. 22. Peak time: From midnight to dawn are the best hours to catch the meteors streaking through the sky, so plan on a late night or really early morning. What the Orionids are known for: The Orionid meteors are known for their brightness and their speed. As they streak across the sky at around 41 miles per second, the meteors leave behind a glowing "train" that can last several seconds to minutes. While you can make the perfect plan to catch the Orionids, the key to stellar viewing is still in Mother Nature's hands. The good news is that many of you should have good meteor shower-watching conditions. Much of the central and eastern U. S.

(urbanbuzz/shutterstock)Could a cheap roll of duct tape help protect your home from flooding? New research suggests it could make a surprisingly big difference. In controlled tests, correctly applied duct tape on the outside of a household door reduced water leakage by 97-98%. The findings suggest that a simple low-cost measure could substantially reduce the amount of water entering a home during a flood. This is important as one of the key lessons from flood resilience research is that the best time to protect a property is before floodwater arrives. The UK government’s 2025 FloodReady Review called for practical, affordable measures that help households understand their risks and to prepare for flooding. And one potential contribution to this agenda might sound unlikely, at first glance. Duct tape is more commonly associated with household repairs than flood protection. However, tests colleagues and I conducted at the University of Hull demonstrated how much water can enter a property through an unprotected doorway during a flood. Three doors, ready for flood-testing.