Forecasting the Next Five Years of Business Jet Deliveries – Part 2 - Forecast International
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Part 1 (https://lnkd.in/ebQSmHXb) laid out the raw material behind this forecast: a six-OEM market where 1Q26 backlog growth ranges from 43% at Bombardier to roughly flat at Embraer and Textron; a US GDP correlation that only becomes meaningful once measured as growth-on-growth rather than growth-on-level (rising from a meaningless −0.28 to a real 0.50 correlation); and a group of manufacturers telling visibly different stories about their own near-term demand, with Bombardier and Gulfstream building backlog while Textron and Embraer grow revenue through pricing and mix instead of volume.
Part 2 turns that raw material into an actual forecast: the three-layer methodology used to build it, why it departs from standard industry practice, and what the resulting 2026-2030 numbers mean for owners, buyers, sellers, and financiers.
This article is an excerpt. To read the full content, visit the original source. Forecast International
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