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Canadian home sales forecast for 2026 downgraded again by CREA - The Globe and Mail

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Open this photo in gallery:CREA projects the national average home price to tick 0.2 per cent higher on an annual basis to $681,681 this year. Paige Taylor White/The Canadian PressThe Canadian Real Estate Association has downgraded its forecast for home sales activity in 2026 for the third straight quarter. CREA now expects a total of 444,530 homes to be sold by the end of this year, representing a 5.2 per cent decrease from 2025. That’s down from its July forecast of a 1.4 per cent year- over-year decline, which marked a reversal from its April forecast of a one per cent gain. The association had predicted 5.1 per cent growth year-over-year in January. CREA also projects the national average home price to tick 0.2 per cent higher on an annual basis to $681,681 this year, which is around $5,000 lower than predicted in the summer. The association said its revised forecast comes amid a “roller-coaster year,” with the global energy crisis fuelling inflation risks and affecting borrowing costs.

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