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Alberta’s $630-billion case for re-federating Canada, not leaving it - The Hub | More Signal. Less Noise.

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Since 1960, Ottawa has taken a net $630 billion out of Alberta, including an average of $20 billion a year over the past decade, in years when the provincial treasury ran multi-billion-dollar deficits. That figure, more than any poll, explains why Albertans vote on 10 referendum questions on Oct. 19. Only one touches separation. Hub contributor Michael Rupert Binnion, who sat on the Alberta Next Panel that shaped the other nine, argues the real choice is between the status quo and “lawful, negotiated change”—a stronger Alberta inside a stronger Canada. He is right, and the rest of the country should read the result as the opening terms of a renegotiation rather than a provincial tantrum.

The separatist question will lose. The latest Angus Reid Institute survey puts No at 60 percent and Yes at 35; CBC tracking has shown roughly 27 percent for separation and 67 percent against for eight years. The trajectory is the problem, not the level.

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